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COVID19 Diagramme de risque

Jordi -

En Catalogne l’université polytechnique de Barcelona a proposé un diagramme de risque pour suivre la pandémie de Sars Cov2.

Pour visualiser l’évolution du virus elle a mis en ligne un diagramme de risque :

En abscisse IA14 le nombre d’incidences sur 14 jours pour 100 000 habitants

En ordonnée ρ7 la vitesse de contagion

Le Risque EPG = IA14 * ρ7

Une zone verte pour EPG=30 et une zone rouge pour EPG=100

Cette visualisation est intéressante pour suivre la pandémie.

Pour mieux prendre en compte la vitesse de contagion et par analogie à une énergie cinétique du virus je préfère calculer un risque EPGJ :

EPGJ = IA14 * ρ7 * ρ7

Diagramme de risque EPGJ
Bleu France Rouge Espagne

Pour suivre interactivement sur une carte du monde BIOCOMSC

https://biocomsc.upc.edu/en/covid-19/Worldcovid-en

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